FGB 4Q16 first glance: Strong revenue & low provisioning drives beat
Net profit down 18% Q-o-Q, beats estimates - FGB reported a net profit of AED1.5bn for 4Q16, -18% Q-o-Q and -11% Y-o-Y. The bank’s earnings came ahead of our estimate of AED1.3bn (consensus: AED1.3bn). FGB’s board proposed a cash dividend of AED1.0/share (yield: 7.7%) which is in-line with our estimate. Our view of the results: A strong set of results. FGB’s earnings beat expectations, with fee income and provisioning depicting an encouraging trend. FGB’s net interest income rose 3% Q-o-Q as interest earning assets grew 6% Q-o-Q driven by strong deposit growth. Provisioning surprised positively as cost of risk dropped to 70bps in 4Q16 from 105bps in 3Q16. FGB’s NPL ratio improved to 2.3% ( a seven year low) from 2.6% in 3Q16, while NPL coverage increased to 121% from 114% in 3Q16. Deposit growth was robust at 6% Q-o-Q, likely on the back of growth in international deposits. FGB’s LDR decreased to 105% from 111% in 3Q16. Spreads came under pressure, weighed down by an increase in cost of funds. Main Positives: i) Strong deposit growth (+6% Q-o-Q); ii) Lower-than-expected provisioning (cost of risk of 70bps versus 105bps in 3Q16); iii) Stronger-than-expected fee income Main Negatives: i) Weak loan growth (+0.3% Q-o-Q); ii) Contraction in spreads (-8bps Q-o-Q to 2.76%) (Shabbir Malik, company) First Gulf Bank: AED13.05 as of 30 Jan, Rating: Buy, TP: AED14.00/share, MCap: USD16,001mn, FGB UH / FGB.AD
This website uses cookies to make the site work, to understand if the site is working well, how it is being used, to connect to social media sites (such as Facebook and Twitter) and to collect information useful to allow us and our partners to provide you with more relevant ads . Some cookies are essential to make the site work, but you can control how we use non-essential cookies at any time by clicking the “ON/OFF” button next to each category. For more information about the cookies used on this site, see Privacy Policy.
Decide which cookies you want to allow.
Strictly Necessary
These cookies are essential in order to enable you to move around our website and use its features, such as accessing secure areas of our website. Without these cookies, any services on our Site you wish to access cannot be provided.
Analytical/performance cookies
Visitors use our website, for instance which pages you go to most often, and if you get error messages from web pages.